Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Georgia Southern Eagles
63 57
FINAL Neutral Owl Invitational
Western Michigan Broncos
Tudor Fieldhouse (Neutral) · November 20, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WMU -0.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money GASO +120 / WMU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total GASO win
Actual GASO +6 120 Won
Massey WMU -4.5 (+10.5)
Massey Totals 142.5 (-22.5)
Bradley-Terry 38%
Weighted B-T 33%
Baseline ML WMU -2.0 (+8.0) 146.0 (-26.0) 45%
Baseline Plus ML WMU -1.8 (+7.8) 143.4 (-23.4) 45%
Efficiency Plus ML WMU -0.8 (+6.8) 136.4 (-16.4) 48%
Baseline Tuned ML WMU -2.2 (+8.2) 143.5 (-23.5) 44%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2025 GASO 8357 WMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GASO WMU
Overall 17-16 8-23
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 12-4 7-7
Away 3-11 1-15
Neutral 2-1 0-1
Last 5 1-3 1-3
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 67.1 68.3
Avg Pts Against 68.3 76.5
Massey -9.5 (#333) -5.0 (#269)
Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#278) -0.61 (#237)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.73 (#281) -1.02 (#243)
RPI 0.372 (#304) 0.332 (#321)
Shooting & Four Factors GASO WMU
FG% 38.0% 45.3%
3PT% 26.2% 30.6%
REB / G 28.7 38.5
OREB / G 5.0 12.5
AST / TO 0.81 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.5% 51.4%
TOV% 14.9% 19.8%
ORB% 12.9% 35.5%
FT Rate 16.2% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.8% 57.5%
Opp TOV% 19.5% 14.9%
DRB% 78.0% 74.3%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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