Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GASO +120 WMU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WMU -4.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -1.8 (+7.8) | 144.9 (-24.9) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -1.7 (+7.7) | 138.5 (-18.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -2.6 (+8.6) | 143.6 (-23.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -2.3 (+8.3) | 146.2 (-26.2) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | GASO 83 – 57 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#333) | -5.0 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#278) | -0.61 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#281) | -1.02 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#304) | 0.332 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 12.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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