Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +130 UNLV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -0.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -0.4 (-11.4) | 131.4 (-6.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -0.2 (-11.2) | 132.1 (-7.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -0.1 (-10.9) | 132.3 (-7.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -0.3 (-10.7) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNLV 62 – 48 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#161) | 3.9 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#163) | 0.70 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#167) | 1.07 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#200) | 0.519 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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