Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -205 UNLV +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +32 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -11.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -10.1 (+21.9) | 149.0 (+15.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -8.9 (+23.1) | 151.9 (+12.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -10.4 (+21.6) | 152.1 (+11.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -9.9 (+22.1) | 149.0 (+15.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNLV 62 – 48 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#76) | 0.5 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#118) | -0.24 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#128) | -0.63 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#124) | 0.488 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.2% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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