All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
UNLV Rebels
73 – 70
FINAL Neutral Conference Mountain West
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Thomas & Mack Center (Neutral) · March 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNLV -2.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money UNLV -166 / WYO +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNLV win
Actual UNLV +3 143 Won
Massey WYO -2.1 (+5.1) — —
Massey Totals — 158.0 (-15.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WYO -1.5 (+4.5) 148.7 (-5.7) 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WYO -1.4 (+4.4) 147.8 (-4.8) 43% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WYO -1.3 (+4.3) 149.6 (-6.6) 41% ✗
Baseline ML WYO -1.6 (+4.6) 150.6 (-7.6) 41% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 WYO 98 – 66 UNLV
Feb 8, 2025 UNLV 68 – 57 WYO
Jan 22, 2025 WYO 63 – 61 UNLV
Feb 28, 2024 UNLV 75 – 69 WYO
Feb 4, 2024 UNLV 62 – 48 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNLV WYO
Overall 18-17 18-15
Conference 11-9 9-11
Home 10-6 14-4
Away 7-7 3-10
Neutral 1-4 1-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 78.6 76.2
Avg Pts Against 79.3 72.9
Massey 4.0 (#109) 6.1 (#95)
Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#104) 0.80 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#108) 1.10 (#98)
RPI 0.526 (#116) 0.527 (#113)
Shooting & Four Factors UNLV WYO
FG% 47.3% 45.3%
3PT% 35.2% 33.4%
REB / G 34.4 34.9
OREB / G 10.8 11.6
AST / TO 1.20 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 52.5%
TOV% 16.6% 16.6%
ORB% 30.9% 34.3%
FT Rate 28.7% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.7%
DRB% 68.9% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 33.7% 33.9%

Game Analysis

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