Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -166 WYO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -2.1 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -0.9 (+3.9) | 151.9 (-8.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WYO -1.1 (+4.1) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WYO -1.1 (+4.1) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.3 (+4.3) | 151.6 (-8.6) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNLV 62 – 48 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#109) | 6.1 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#104) | 0.80 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#108) | 1.10 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#116) | 0.527 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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