Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +170 UNLV -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -5.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -3.7 (-2.3) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -5.3 (-0.7) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -4.9 (-1.1) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -4.7 (-1.3) | 143.5 (+0.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNLV 62 – 48 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#180) | 7.0 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#128) | 1.32 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | 1.50 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.573 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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