Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -500 WYO +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +14 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -8.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-39.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -6.9 (+7.1) | 146.9 (-36.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -7.2 (+6.8) | 142.1 (-32.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -6.8 (+7.2) | 144.8 (-34.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -6.6 (+7.4) | 147.6 (-37.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#103) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | 0.73 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#111) | 0.58 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#92) | 0.547 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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