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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–16 on winners spread MAE 9.5 53 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Maryland @ Ohio State	+1.3	147.5	58%	70–73	✓
Temple @ South Florida	+0.9	149.6	59%	91–100	✓
Long Island University @ Wagner	-0.5	119.7	43%	60–47	✓
Le Moyne @ Saint Francis	+3.4	146.3	65%	78–86	✓
Mercyhurst @ Chicago State	-1.0	135.8	41%	78–85	✗
UMBC @ New Hampshire	-5.7	152.3	31%	78–79	✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland	+4.5	135.0	67%	84–75	✗
Elon @ Campbell	+1.4	135.6	59%	58–76	✓
Hampton @ Monmouth	+2.3	144.3	68%	63–68	✓
William & Mary @ Drexel	+3.4	146.0	67%	66–86	✓
Northeastern @ Hofstra	+3.1	134.0	66%	77–68	✗
Jacksonville @ Stetson	-8.2	144.4	19%	74–65	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Florida Gulf Coast	+5.0	145.1	68%	92–74	✗
Canisius @ Quinnipiac	+13.8	149.1	88%	71–89	✓
Niagara @ Merrimack	+8.1	127.9	80%	59–64	✓
Marist @ Fairfield	-4.2	132.3	40%	56–59	✗
Rider @ Sacred Heart	+4.5	142.3	63%	77–89	✓
Iona @ Mount St. Mary's	+3.1	138.8	52%	70–67	✗
Saint Peter's @ Siena	+3.9	129.3	59%	63–77	✓
Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State	+2.4	137.1	63%	63–77	✓
Western Kentucky @ Kennesaw State	+0.5	154.1	57%	69–76	✓
Sam Houston @ Florida International	-0.3	141.7	50%	82–85	✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State	+2.4	136.6	65%	80–51	✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Central Connecticut	+10.1	137.3	85%	66–87	✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona	-0.3	140.6	52%	64–69	✗
Montana @ Northern Colorado	+4.4	151.7	69%	86–78	✗
Bellarmine @ North Florida	+10.5	162.8	86%	88–95	✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley	+5.7	148.2	76%	73–94	✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ South Dakota State	+3.6	156.5	73%	86–102	✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City	-2.7	142.8	42%	78–72	✓
North Dakota @ Omaha	+4.4	155.2	74%	77–80	✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee State	+7.7	144.3	78%	69–87	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Liberty	+5.7	134.6	72%	53–77	✓
Little Rock @ Southern Indiana	-3.8	132.0	30%	74–56	✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville	+5.5	150.3	77%	70–78	✓
Portland State @ Idaho	-0.3	146.1	42%	76–69	✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington	+9.1	132.8	83%	80–83	✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga	+19.9	152.7	90%	53–73	✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco	-2.0	131.5	43%	64–65	✗
Abilene Christian @ Utah Tech	+0.1	136.1	45%	86–72	✗
South Dakota @ Denver	-0.5	156.9	54%	86–79	✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin	+6.2	142.7	77%	52–51	✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield	-1.8	137.2	46%	81–75	✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego	+11.8	142.3	85%	71–91	✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge	+13.9	144.7	88%	63–82	✓
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly	-1.4	149.2	43%	63–79	✗
UC Davis @ Long Beach State	-2.4	131.8	32%	73–65	✓
San Diego @ Pacific	+1.9	143.0	67%	69–71	✓
Santa Clara @ Portland	-14.9	159.3	14%	97–50	✓
Tarleton State @ Seattle U	+10.2	130.7	83%	54–91	✓
Southern Utah @ California Baptist	+9.5	139.8	83%	60–57	✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech	-0.6	140.1	42%	75–58	✓
Washington State @ Oregon State	+6.0	147.1	76%	74–82	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.