Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -320 LT +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +24 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.7 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -5.7 (+18.3) | 134.6 (-4.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -6.0 (+18.0) | 134.2 (-4.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.3 (+17.7) | 134.6 (-4.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.6 (+17.4) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LT 76 – 71 LIB |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LIB 72 – 56 LT |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LT 79 – 74 LIB |
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIB 65 – 62 LT |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LT 80 – 76 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#83) | 2.5 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#76) | 1.01 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#73) | 1.13 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.567 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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