Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -138 LT +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LT -0.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.1 (+1.9) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -0.4 (+2.6) | 137.9 (-10.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -0.5 (+2.5) | 138.5 (-11.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -0.6 (+2.4) | 137.6 (-10.6) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LT 76 – 71 LIB |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LIB 72 – 56 LT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIB 77 – 53 LT |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LT 79 – 74 LIB |
| Jan 14, 2024 | LT 80 – 76 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#107) | 8.0 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#129) | 0.94 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#122) | 1.49 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#129) | 0.568 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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