← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
38–17 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
55 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-13.8 | 142.6 | 14% | 83–54 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.8 | 134.7 | 79% | 81–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.1 | 145.6 | 79% | 64–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.3 | 141.4 | 36% | 78–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.7 | 156.2 | 52% | 83–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.4 | 144.6 | 63% | 93–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.3 | 140.9 | 64% | 73–60 | ✗ |
|
|
-11.0 | 148.5 | 18% | 84–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.2 | 132.5 | 47% | 53–50 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 155.4 | 52% | 79–80 | ✗ |
|
|
-1.9 | 132.2 | 44% | 68–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.3 | 152.9 | 75% | 62–80 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.4 | 132.1 | 31% | 66–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 130.7 | 53% | 65–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.5 | 137.4 | 68% | 71–58 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.1 | 141.7 | 63% | 49–71 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.7 | 133.4 | 20% | 84–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.7 | 148.5 | 70% | 64–97 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.4 | 140.7 | 37% | 64–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.3 | 132.9 | 61% | 61–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.9 | 144.2 | 71% | 82–83 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.4 | 134.6 | 37% | 75–85 | ✗ |
|
|
+11.3 | 141.1 | 88% | 56–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.4 | 156.4 | 73% | 64–87 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.8 | 141.3 | 17% | 76–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 143.1 | 57% | 79–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+13.0 | 145.7 | 88% | 75–84 | ✓ |
|
|
-13.9 | 132.1 | 13% | 76–61 | ✓ |
|
|
-5.5 | 146.4 | 29% | 63–47 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.7 | 155.5 | 86% | 79–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.2 | 147.5 | 90% | 71–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.8 | 130.9 | 62% | 60–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.2 | 144.0 | 53% | 61–60 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.8 | 142.5 | 45% | 68–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 149.1 | 61% | 81–79 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.2 | 145.1 | 32% | 74–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.9 | 162.3 | 28% | 73–82 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.7 | 142.5 | 37% | 80–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 139.0 | 79% | 59–72 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.7 | 144.5 | 21% | 81–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.3 | 153.3 | 75% | 80–77 | ✗ |
|
|
-4.3 | 141.1 | 28% | 59–49 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.3 | 148.4 | 41% | 72–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 141.3 | 73% | 78–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.0 | 143.5 | 78% | 62–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.0 | 146.9 | 81% | 65–87 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 142.8 | 40% | 86–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 139.6 | 61% | 62–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.0 | 137.2 | 68% | 79–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.9 | 136.6 | 85% | 74–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.2 | 153.9 | 80% | 68–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+15.6 | 159.1 | 88% | 63–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.0 | 145.8 | 44% | 54–66 | ✗ |
|
|
-5.0 | 150.6 | 29% | 77–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.3 | 130.4 | 21% | 66–59 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.