Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | DEL +250 UNCW -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -4.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -5.0 (-5.0) | 150.6 (-6.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -4.7 (-5.3) | 152.7 (-8.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -4.9 (-5.1) | 153.9 (-9.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -4.1 (-5.9) | 153.5 (-9.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2025 | UNCW 76 – 72 DEL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UNCW 88 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNCW 79 – 74 DEL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DEL 75 – 66 UNCW |
| Mar 9, 2022 | DEL 59 – 55 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#241) | 2.5 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#247) | 0.80 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#247) | 0.81 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#244) | 0.542 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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