Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UNCW -750 DEL +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +30 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -11.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -11.2 (+18.8) | 152.6 (-6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -11.5 (+18.5) | 154.3 (-8.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -11.6 (+18.4) | 155.7 (-9.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -12.9 (+17.1) | 154.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2025 | UNCW 76 – 72 DEL |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNCW 79 – 74 DEL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | DEL 75 – 66 UNCW |
| Mar 9, 2022 | DEL 59 – 55 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#117) | -5.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#109) | -1.03 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#113) | -1.25 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#87) | 0.466 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.