Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -120 UNCW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNCW -0.7 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -0.5 (+9.5) | 135.9 (+5.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -1.6 (+10.6) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -1.2 (+10.2) | 140.0 (+1.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -1.9 (+10.9) | 139.1 (+1.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2025 | UNCW 76 – 72 DEL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UNCW 88 – 58 DEL |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNCW 79 – 74 DEL |
| Mar 9, 2022 | DEL 59 – 55 UNCW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#239) | 0.3 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#234) | 1.34 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | 1.43 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#246) | 0.559 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.