Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +110 NEB -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +14 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | NEB -2.4 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -1.6 (-12.4) | 142.8 (+15.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -1.6 (-12.4) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -1.3 (-12.7) | 141.6 (+16.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -1.5 (-12.5) | 143.8 (+14.2) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | NEB 76 – 66 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#94) | 11.1 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#81) | 2.18 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#78) | 2.99 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#115) | 0.605 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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