Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Big Ten Conference · Pinnacle Bank Arena · January 22, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NEB -10.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money NEB -625 / WASH +455
Model Predictions
Spread Total NEB win
Actual NEB +10 142 Won
Massey NEB -10.7 (-0.7)
Massey Totals 147.2 (-5.2)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML NEB -9.7 (+0.3) 146.7 (-4.7) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML NEB -12.6 (-2.6) 141.0 (+1.0) 86%
Baseline ML NEB -12.7 (-2.7) 143.2 (-1.2) 86%
Baseline Plus ML NEB -13.1 (-3.1) 144.5 (-2.5) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2025 NEB 8672 WASH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NEB WASH
Overall 28-7 16-17
Conference 15-5 7-13
Home 16-2 10-6
Away 7-3 4-9
Neutral 5-2 2-2
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 77.1
Avg Pts Against 66.1 73.6
Massey 19.1 (#17) 11.6 (#47)
Bradley-Terry 5.56 (#2) 1.53 (#71)
W. Bradley-Terry 7.28 (#2) 2.22 (#61)
RPI 0.673 (#6) 0.556 (#79)
Shooting & Four Factors NEB WASH
FG% 47.4% 45.1%
3PT% 35.5% 30.7%
REB / G 36.6 38.2
OREB / G 9.2 12.2
AST / TO 2.02 1.29
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 50.3%
TOV% 13.2% 15.0%
ORB% 27.3% 34.7%
FT Rate 22.2% 27.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 15.4%
DRB% 72.9% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 16.7% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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