You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Southeastern Conference · Lloyd Noble Center · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money OU +195 / TENN -230
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual TENN +18 122 Lost
Massey TENN -6.2 (-11.8)
Massey Totals 137.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 32%
Efficiency Plus ML TENN -3.8 (-14.2) 137.4 (-15.4) 35%
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -3.1 (-14.9) 135.6 (-13.6) 37%
Baseline ML TENN -2.4 (-15.6) 135.6 (-13.6) 37%
Baseline Plus ML TENN -2.2 (-15.8) 138.1 (-16.1) 38%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 TENN 8966 OU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU TENN
Overall 20-14 30-8
Conference 6-12 12-6
Home 12-5 16-1
Away 2-7 6-5
Neutral 6-2 8-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.3 74.0
Avg Pts Against 74.6 63.1
Massey 12.7 (#44) 22.0 (#4)
Bradley-Terry 3.00 (#15) 3.86 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.69 (#21) 5.10 (#4)
RPI 0.585 (#45) 0.649 (#6)
Shooting & Four Factors OU TENN
FG% 48.3% 44.6%
3PT% 37.6% 34.0%
REB / G 32.4 38.6
OREB / G 8.6 12.8
AST / TO 1.18 1.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.3% 52.0%
TOV% 17.8% 16.4%
ORB% 28.0% 38.3%
FT Rate 30.2% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 42.5%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 19.6%
DRB% 66.9% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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