Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -750 OU +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -11.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.6 (+11.4) | 147.1 (+7.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -12.0 (+11.0) | 149.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.8 (+11.2) | 148.6 (+6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.4 (+10.6) | 150.9 (+4.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | TENN 70 – 52 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#19) | 10.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#24) | 1.41 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#21) | 1.94 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#30) | 0.511 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 45.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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