Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | AF +1000 UNM -2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +35 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNM -17.1 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -18.1 (-16.9) | 147.6 (-6.6) | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -14.4 (-20.6) | 146.5 (-5.5) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -16.1 (-18.9) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -15.3 (-19.7) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | UNM 98 – 61 AF |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNM 91 – 49 AF |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UNM 92 – 71 AF |
| Mar 13, 2024 | UNM 82 – 56 AF |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AF 78 – 77 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 17-3 |
| Home | 3-13 | 15-1 |
| Away | 0-14 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#278) | 13.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#340) | 2.62 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#329) | 3.77 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#333) | 0.627 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.