I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Atlantic Sun Conference · The Coliseum · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -10.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money WGA +425 / UNA -650
Model Predictions
Spread Total WGA win
Actual UNA +17 139 Lost
Massey UNA -10.6 (-6.4)
Massey Totals 148.4 (-9.4)
Bradley-Terry 11%
Weighted B-T 8%
Efficiency Plus ML UNA -8.4 (-8.6) 145.3 (-6.3) 21%
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -10.1 (-6.9) 146.3 (-7.3) 17%
Baseline ML UNA -9.1 (-7.9) 147.9 (-8.9) 17%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -9.5 (-7.5) 147.2 (-8.2) 18%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 WGA 7563 UNA
Feb 12, 2026 WGA 8273 UNA
Feb 19, 2025 UNA 8062 WGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WGA UNA
Overall 6-25 24-11
Conference 4-14 14-4
Home 4-8 16-1
Away 2-15 7-10
Neutral 0-2 1-0
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak W1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.8 77.5
Avg Pts Against 78.8 71.0
Massey -11.5 (#333) 2.2 (#128)
Bradley-Terry -2.41 (#342) 0.21 (#158)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.88 (#340) 0.27 (#151)
RPI 0.395 (#339) 0.512 (#159)
Shooting & Four Factors WGA UNA
FG% 42.6% 44.8%
3PT% 29.6% 33.4%
REB / G 32.2 37.3
OREB / G 9.7 12.3
AST / TO 1.11 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 51.0%
TOV% 16.5% 13.2%
ORB% 26.1% 33.2%
FT Rate 18.8% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.9% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.2%
DRB% 70.1% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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