Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UNA -120 WGA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -0.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -1.0 (-10.0) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -0.4 (-8.6) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -0.6 (-8.4) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -0.5 (-8.5) | 143.5 (+11.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WGA 75 – 63 UNA |
| Feb 19, 2025 | UNA 80 – 62 WGA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNA 78 – 61 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#339) | -10.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#330) | -1.35 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#335) | -2.04 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#324) | 0.452 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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