Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -2000 WGA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -18.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -14.3 (+3.7) | 148.4 (-6.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -17.2 (+0.8) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -17.4 (+0.6) | 149.9 (-7.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -16.1 (+1.9) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WGA 75 – 63 UNA |
| Feb 12, 2026 | WGA 82 – 73 UNA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNA 78 – 61 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#121) | -12.1 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#146) | -2.37 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -2.84 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#140) | 0.399 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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