Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +135 PRST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -0.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -0.0 (+5.0) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.2 (+5.2) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -0.4 (+4.6) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -0.1 (+4.9) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | EWU 67 – 55 PRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | PRST 65 – 61 EWU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | PRST 64 – 59 EWU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | EWU 90 – 77 PRST |
| Dec 29, 2023 | EWU 91 – 57 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#245) | -2.4 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#297) | -0.38 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#284) | -0.27 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#320) | 0.471 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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