Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -138 PRST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +34 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -0.6 (+34.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -1.2 (+35.2) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.7 (+33.3) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -0.6 (+33.4) | 143.6 (+4.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -0.2 (+33.8) | 143.9 (+4.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | EWU 67 – 55 PRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | PRST 65 – 61 EWU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EWU 72 – 67 PRST |
| Jan 10, 2025 | PRST 64 – 59 EWU |
| Feb 6, 2024 | EWU 90 – 77 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#207) | 2.8 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#156) | 1.29 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#166) | 1.32 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#94) | 0.585 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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