Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | PRST +163 EWU -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.8 (-11.2) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.9 (-10.1) | 144.3 (+22.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -2.0 (-11.0) | 144.5 (+22.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.7 (-10.3) | 145.8 (+21.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | EWU 67 – 55 PRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | PRST 65 – 61 EWU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EWU 72 – 67 PRST |
| Jan 10, 2025 | PRST 64 – 59 EWU |
| Dec 29, 2023 | EWU 91 – 57 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#238) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#158) | 0.92 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#179) | 0.88 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#160) | 0.548 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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