I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Big Sky Conference · Viking Pavilion · February 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money PRST +163 / EWU -213
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRST win
Actual EWU +13 167 Lost
Massey EWU -3.3 (-9.7)
Massey Totals 147.3 (+19.7)
Bradley-Terry 48%
Weighted B-T 43%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -2.9 (-10.1) 144.3 (+22.7) 38%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -2.0 (-11.0) 144.5 (+22.5) 41%
Baseline ML EWU -2.7 (-10.3) 145.8 (+21.2) 38%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -1.8 (-11.2) 144.1 (+22.9) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 EWU 6755 PRST
Jan 23, 2026 PRST 6561 EWU
Feb 8, 2025 EWU 7267 PRST
Jan 10, 2025 PRST 6459 EWU
Dec 29, 2023 EWU 9157 PRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PRST EWU
Overall 17-15 21-11
Conference 8-10 15-3
Home 11-2 11-1
Away 5-11 10-9
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.5 79.5
Avg Pts Against 72.7 77.6
Massey -3.9 (#238) 2.8 (#124)
Bradley-Terry 0.20 (#158) 0.92 (#107)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.08 (#179) 0.88 (#115)
RPI 0.506 (#160) 0.548 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors PRST EWU
FG% 40.8% 48.1%
3PT% 33.4% 37.5%
REB / G 35.3 33.4
OREB / G 10.9 7.8
AST / TO 0.99 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 56.2%
TOV% 16.2% 19.8%
ORB% 28.5% 25.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 27.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.4%
DRB% 70.1% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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