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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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89–33 on winners spread MAE 8.0 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Manhattan @ Siena +0.3 136.1 45% 70–68 ✗
Rider @ Niagara +1.2 145.3 47% 71–61 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Iona +4.6 145.4 69% 82–64 ✗
Fairfield @ Marist +0.5 133.1 46% 55–58 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Canisius +1.2 139.5 56% 56–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Jacksonville -0.0 131.5 46% 59–57 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +17.5 133.4 90% 56–80 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State +2.3 146.9 58% 79–82 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +1.5 149.4 60% 75–92 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +1.3 141.2 62% 68–71 ✓
Stetson @ North Florida +0.2 151.3 48% 59–78 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Queens University +0.6 166.3 61% 82–91 ✓
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina -13.2 151.8 13% 86–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas -5.3 148.8 30% 82–78 ✓
Cornell @ Pennsylvania -2.2 153.6 40% 87–81 ✓
Columbia @ Princeton +14.9 140.9 88% 70–84 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +6.2 145.1 76% 69–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +4.5 161.2 70% 67–81 ✓
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay +6.7 138.8 78% 87–90 ✓
Troy @ Texas State -3.1 142.4 42% 79–82 ✗
Southern Miss @ Louisiana +7.0 142.0 77% 61–77 ✓
Dayton @ Loyola Chicago -2.5 138.2 44% 72–77 ✗
Fresno State @ Nevada +15.9 140.5 89% 66–74 ✓
Air Force @ Utah State +17.1 139.0 90% 60–72 ✓
Florida @ South Carolina +0.9 147.8 58% 76–82 ✓
Florida State @ Georgia Tech +0.1 148.0 53% 76–85 ✓
Tulane @ Florida Atlantic +13.8 165.4 88% 73–79 ✓
Villanova @ Providence +1.1 137.3 59% 71–60 ✗
Butler @ DePaul -13.7 149.2 15% 82–63 ✓
Colgate @ Lehigh -3.3 137.1 35% 63–60 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +8.9 133.3 84% 84–94 ✓
Fordham @ Saint Joseph's +7.2 147.0 79% 69–82 ✓
Kansas @ Baylor +6.5 148.0 78% 74–82 ✓
Illinois @ Wisconsin -0.2 152.5 53% 91–83 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +4.6 147.4 76% 72–67 ✗
Monmouth @ Elon -2.1 145.3 49% 85–70 ✓
Stonehill @ Central Connecticut +10.3 139.3 87% 67–79 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Michigan -3.5 135.9 36% 52–37 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -11.7 148.6 15% 74–62 ✓
Arkansas @ Kentucky +13.0 168.6 86% 102–111 ✓
Oregon @ Arizona +14.4 158.8 86% 83–103 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas +10.5 145.9 82% 65–81 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Radford -0.4 148.8 43% 71–62 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +3.8 150.9 67% 65–64 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +5.0 139.6 70% 65–72 ✓
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +4.6 131.5 67% 64–75 ✓
Hofstra @ Charleston +4.8 149.4 73% 76–87 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +4.6 141.4 73% 73–85 ✓
Navy @ American University +4.3 131.2 62% 71–65 ✗
George Washington @ La Salle +2.8 156.9 76% 66–72 ✓
Duquesne @ George Mason +2.9 135.0 65% 59–51 ✗
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart -1.9 140.4 47% 85–89 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ball State +4.6 138.9 68% 78–76 ✗
Toledo @ Buffalo -10.5 150.1 16% 85–79 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +9.1 150.5 81% 82–75 ✗
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +1.8 148.5 59% 82–63 ✗
New Hampshire @ Binghamton +0.5 148.3 51% 74–87 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota +6.7 149.4 73% 66–95 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota State -2.6 145.0 40% 78–61 ✓
Marquette @ Creighton +4.6 152.9 74% 75–89 ✓
Massachusetts @ Davidson +0.2 137.8 51% 69–67 ✗
UTSA @ SMU +14.2 155.0 87% 77–73 ✗
The Citadel @ Samford +13.1 148.9 89% 80–92 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +6.0 138.4 77% 62–74 ✓
Penn State @ Minnesota +3.6 151.7 67% 70–75 ✓
LSU @ Vanderbilt -4.1 146.5 33% 75–61 ✓
Central Michigan @ Kent State +11.2 138.9 85% 73–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Morehead State +17.6 137.9 90% 49–67 ✓
Iowa State @ UCF -2.9 136.2 34% 60–52 ✓
NC State @ North Carolina +11.6 152.2 85% 70–79 ✓
Mississippi State @ Auburn +8.8 147.6 81% 63–78 ✓
South Florida @ Charlotte +1.4 133.2 50% 76–61 ✗
USC @ Washington +6.1 159.5 72% 82–75 ✗
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.2 140.6 28% 70–66 ✓
Wyoming @ Colorado State +13.1 141.7 87% 62–70 ✓
Northeastern @ Drexel +9.0 136.0 82% 59–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +6.4 144.1 77% 62–64 ✓
Delaware @ Stony Brook +0.2 143.8 55% 56–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island +1.8 154.4 55% 94–91 ✗
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -0.6 140.2 53% 71–85 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Coppin State -9.2 134.0 17% 83–58 ✓
Le Moyne @ Saint Francis -4.1 136.1 33% 74–58 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State -0.2 138.6 53% 65–66 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock +10.7 143.3 84% 43–81 ✓
NJIT @ Bryant +10.1 146.8 83% 82–101 ✓
Maine @ UAlbany +1.0 146.0 50% 74–71 ✗
Lamar @ Northwestern State -2.0 143.6 50% 82–77 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +2.2 140.1 58% 78–65 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +10.7 143.1 85% 58–85 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Southern +6.9 138.6 77% 67–61 ✗
South Carolina State @ Morgan State -1.4 144.5 38% 72–61 ✓
High Point @ Longwood -1.7 149.9 52% 72–74 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +2.8 137.0 54% 57–54 ✗
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +5.2 153.9 77% 87–96 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois +2.7 134.9 61% 65–76 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.9 133.5 78% 68–80 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian -2.3 154.4 37% 98–85 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M -0.3 137.5 69% 53–58 ✗
Florida A&M @ Grambling +8.3 130.6 82% 68–75 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland -2.3 126.1 39% 68–69 ✗
Nicholls @ McNeese +15.6 145.2 88% 62–83 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +7.1 129.8 71% 66–64 ✗
Portland State @ Sacramento State -2.0 131.9 39% 61–73 ✗
Montana @ Idaho -5.4 138.0 30% 80–57 ✓
Montana State @ Eastern Washington +8.9 149.3 83% 104–108 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +0.8 145.2 58% 76–87 ✓
Iowa @ Northwestern +4.3 150.9 61% 87–80 ✗
Virginia @ Duke +10.6 130.5 84% 48–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +15.6 142.0 90% 66–75 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Boston College -1.6 142.9 38% 90–65 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -6.0 147.8 33% 81–70 ✓
Texas A&M @ Georgia -1.5 144.7 45% 70–56 ✓
VCU @ Richmond +1.4 136.4 62% 76–79 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +14.2 139.4 88% 73–80 ✓
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +2.0 144.2 67% 69–90 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Oakland +15.9 147.6 90% 70–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +2.6 139.6 57% 70–80 ✓
New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +3.9 154.4 60% 87–80 ✗
Dartmouth @ Brown +9.4 134.9 85% 67–89 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -3.3 154.1 41% 83–85 ✗
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M -1.4 139.2 29% 73–65 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +10.4 142.6 86% 69–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.