Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | URI -150 SLU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +3 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -3.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.8 (-5.8) | 156.3 (+28.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.8 (-4.8) | 154.4 (+30.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.8 (-4.8) | 156.9 (+28.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.5 (-5.5) | 157.5 (+27.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
| Mar 3, 2022 | SLU 80 – 74 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#208) | -3.0 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#188) | -0.19 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#176) | -0.27 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#161) | 0.489 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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