Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | URI +410 SLU -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -13.1 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -11.1 (+16.1) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.4 (+14.4) | 148.2 (+8.8) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -12.9 (+17.9) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -11.4 (+16.4) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 17% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
| Mar 3, 2022 | SLU 80 – 74 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 19-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#121) | 19.2 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#145) | 3.40 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#126) | 4.83 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#160) | 0.627 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 41.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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