I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · February 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money SLU -300 / URI +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +15 147 Won
Massey SLU -2.8 (+12.2)
Massey Totals 150.8 (-3.8)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 60%
Baseline Plus ML SLU -2.9 (+12.1) 147.4 (-0.4) 62%
Model 4 ML SLU -2.9 (+12.1) 147.5 (-0.5) 63%
Model 3 ML SLU -2.9 (+12.1) 146.4 (+0.6) 63%
Baseline ML SLU -2.2 (+12.8) 146.4 (+0.6) 66%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 URI 8176 SLU
Mar 12, 2024 SLU 7471 URI
Mar 2, 2024 SLU 9491 URI
Feb 8, 2023 SLU 7671 URI
Mar 3, 2022 SLU 8074 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU URI
Overall 19-15 18-13
Conference 11-7 7-11
Home 14-3 14-3
Away 4-9 1-9
Neutral 1-3 3-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 73.6 77.1
Avg Pts Against 72.6 75.2
Massey 2.4 (#121) 2.7 (#117)
Bradley-Terry 0.40 (#138) 0.72 (#111)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#120) 0.86 (#110)
RPI 0.530 (#120) 0.551 (#84)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU URI
FG% 47.0% 46.2%
3PT% 33.5% 33.9%
REB / G 35.2 37.5
OREB / G 7.6 10.0
AST / TO 1.13 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.3% 52.4%
TOV% 19.1% 17.8%
ORB% 23.8% 28.8%
FT Rate 21.7% 29.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 16.0%
DRB% 70.8% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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