Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -300 URI +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +15 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -2.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.9 (+12.1) | 146.4 (+0.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -2.9 (+12.1) | 147.5 (-0.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.9 (+12.1) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.2 (+12.8) | 146.4 (+0.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
| Mar 3, 2022 | SLU 80 – 74 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#121) | 2.7 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#138) | 0.72 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#120) | 0.86 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#120) | 0.551 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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