Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -700 URI +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -11.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -9.0 (-4.0) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.9 (-4.9) | 142.4 (+4.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.0 (-4.0) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -9.4 (-4.4) | 143.0 (+4.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Mar 3, 2022 | SLU 80 – 74 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#102) | -3.0 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#76) | -0.69 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#85) | -0.86 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#48) | 0.471 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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