Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -3.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.0 (-4.0) | 136.4 (+17.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -3.3 (-2.7) | 137.4 (+16.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -2.0 (-4.0) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.2 (-3.8) | 137.9 (+16.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SLU 74 – 71 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | 9.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#168) | 1.28 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | 1.49 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#165) | 0.563 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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