Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | URI +130 SLU -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.2 (-2.8) | 154.1 (-9.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -1.0 (-2.0) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.3 (-2.7) | 152.0 (-7.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.1 (-2.9) | 153.0 (-8.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | URI 81 – 76 SLU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SLU 81 – 66 URI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SLU 94 – 91 URI |
| Feb 8, 2023 | SLU 76 – 71 URI |
| Mar 3, 2022 | SLU 80 – 74 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#209) | -2.2 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#192) | 0.09 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#180) | 0.01 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#177) | 0.498 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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