Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -450 NMSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -9.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.4 (-8.4) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -7.1 (-9.1) | 129.8 (+0.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -6.9 (-8.9) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.0 (-8.0) | 131.6 (-1.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NMSU 68 – 63 JXST |
| Mar 6, 2026 | NMSU 77 – 75 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NMSU 79 – 70 JXST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NMSU 61 – 52 JXST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | JXST 65 – 59 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#179) | -7.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#244) | -0.85 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#195) | -1.00 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#260) | 0.439 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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