Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JXST +102 NMSU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -1.7 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -1.4 (-3.6) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.4 (-3.6) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -1.4 (-3.6) | 139.9 (-8.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -1.6 (-3.4) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NMSU 77 – 75 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NMSU 79 – 70 JXST |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NMSU 61 – 52 JXST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | JXST 65 – 59 NMSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NMSU 66 – 64 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#207) | -0.8 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#233) | -0.43 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#226) | -0.30 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#234) | 0.492 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.