Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -320 NMSU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +9 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -6.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -4.5 (-13.5) | 134.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -4.9 (-13.9) | 132.8 (-19.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -5.2 (-14.2) | 135.3 (-22.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -5.3 (-14.3) | 133.7 (-20.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NMSU 68 – 63 JXST |
| Mar 6, 2026 | NMSU 77 – 75 JXST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NMSU 79 – 70 JXST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | JXST 65 – 59 NMSU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NMSU 66 – 64 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#117) | -0.0 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#84) | -0.05 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#91) | 0.10 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#54) | 0.496 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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