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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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80–35 on winners spread MAE 10.2 118 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +9.6 128.2 80% 48–62 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner -0.4 142.3 48% 74–76 ✗
Siena @ Rider -7.3 135.8 26% 78–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +7.6 147.5 75% 81–72 ✗
Youngstown State @ Oakland -0.5 150.9 55% 65–82 ✗
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +1.8 150.9 61% 61–86 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +8.2 136.9 77% 66–64 ✗
Presbyterian @ Campbell +3.2 125.5 54% 51–73 ✓
Liberty @ Stetson -10.9 138.0 19% 59–65 ✗
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.7 133.3 61% 74–60 ✗
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +1.4 137.9 57% 72–74 ✓
App State @ South Alabama +2.4 138.7 58% 64–73 ✓
Louisiana @ UT Arlington +3.9 147.9 64% 86–91 ✓
Utah Tech @ UT Rio Grande Valley +8.4 143.4 76% 49–82 ✓
Bowling Green @ Buffalo +4.1 155.6 62% 76–69 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly -13.1 130.6 16% 86–51 ✓
Texas State @ Little Rock +5.5 134.2 65% 63–59 ✗
UTSA @ Louisiana Tech +9.1 147.6 81% 66–77 ✓
North Florida @ Lipscomb +5.2 142.5 65% 72–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ UIC -0.0 144.5 62% 53–67 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss +4.7 126.5 67% 54–84 ✓
UTEP @ North Texas +2.1 133.1 60% 33–63 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara — — — 52–69 —
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -4.2 130.1 38% 62–45 ✓
Wisconsin @ Rutgers -0.9 134.1 50% 60–54 ✓
Utah Valley @ Seattle U +1.5 131.8 50% 93–92 ✗
Tarleton State @ California Baptist +3.9 139.9 73% 74–83 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +5.8 135.0 73% 57–73 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +5.1 139.4 59% 60–55 ✗
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.7 142.8 69% 87–81 ✗
Marquette @ St. John's -0.3 147.4 50% 73–71 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +2.3 144.5 62% 76–96 ✓
North Carolina @ Florida State +3.4 142.4 65% 75–82 ✓
American University @ Navy — — — 86–87 —
Georgia @ Ole Miss +5.0 142.0 67% 78–74 ✗
Missouri @ Texas A&M -3.4 130.3 35% 68–52 ✓
Temple @ Tulane +0.8 131.5 51% 65–57 ✗
Holy Cross @ Colgate +18.8 155.3 90% 55–95 ✓
Army @ Boston University -1.3 139.3 49% 79–59 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +4.1 133.3 65% 70–63 ✗
The Citadel @ VMI +2.7 167.9 69% 103–110 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ball State +12.0 138.2 87% 58–78 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston -1.9 128.1 43% 67–62 ✓
William & Mary @ Drexel +7.5 130.6 72% 58–82 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +9.1 128.5 70% 62–58 ✗
San Diego State @ Utah State +3.8 125.6 65% 59–64 ✓
Michigan @ Minnesota -1.1 145.8 54% 57–75 ✗
Creighton @ Butler -10.1 137.5 22% 66–70 ✗
Davidson @ La Salle -4.1 130.5 34% 77–53 ✓
James Madison @ Towson -0.5 147.1 42% 81–72 ✓
Coppin State @ Morgan State +15.3 157.4 87% 72–92 ✓
George Mason @ Rhode Island +6.7 141.1 76% 60–80 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +1.8 139.9 57% 70–75 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver -10.7 156.1 16% 91–82 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn +3.2 144.6 64% 59–66 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State +3.8 150.3 64% 68–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Stony Brook +2.7 134.9 58% 81–64 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Binghamton -2.6 134.1 34% 92–78 ✓
Old Dominion @ Rice +3.6 142.2 61% 61–58 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga +1.5 142.5 61% 77–59 ✗
Western Carolina @ Mercer +5.9 154.5 76% 76–78 ✓
Kent State @ Ohio +0.3 149.3 57% 89–79 ✗
Toledo @ Akron -5.6 142.5 30% 94–95 ✗
Portland State @ Montana State +7.6 140.3 77% 64–69 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford -1.0 144.3 40% 82–70 ✓
Stanford @ Colorado +10.8 137.3 86% 64–77 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland -0.5 150.4 56% 74–81 ✗
Troy @ Georgia Southern +3.7 129.6 69% 56–63 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +11.1 124.0 86% 30–65 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -7.7 134.3 19% 75–61 ✓
Southern Utah @ Eastern Washington +3.5 152.8 65% 99–94 ✗
Arkansas @ Alabama +1.8 158.8 65% 59–90 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech -2.5 140.7 44% 68–60 ✓
Valparaiso @ DePaul +6.1 143.7 68% 58–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State -5.1 135.8 28% 73–65 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +8.3 130.4 78% 60–69 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -0.3 139.0 39% 69–72 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan -1.3 128.8 47% 55–58 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Abilene Christian +15.4 133.1 88% 42–76 ✓
Boston College @ Notre Dame +2.0 148.3 66% 70–80 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette — — — 75–77 —
Florida @ Mississippi State +0.4 138.3 58% 69–72 ✓
North Alabama @ Kennesaw State -0.6 130.7 35% 66–64 ✓
UAB @ Charlotte -6.0 122.9 27% 55–70 ✗
UTEP @ North Texas +2.5 131.3 62% 65–74 ✓
Florida International @ Florida Atlantic +1.6 144.3 54% 63–107 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +14.4 139.5 89% 63–70 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman +9.7 143.7 83% 66–78 ✓
Houston Christian @ Sam Houston +11.1 154.6 86% 80–87 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan +4.8 147.1 64% 64–75 ✓
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -0.1 133.8 44% 64–50 ✓
Norfolk State @ Delaware State -7.8 145.7 20% 87–76 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +14.9 148.6 89% 76–81 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Monmouth +10.5 149.8 86% 63–70 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +7.2 129.5 74% 55–52 ✗
Murray State @ UT Martin -5.8 137.2 26% 79–57 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Eastern Illinois -2.2 155.2 34% 93–85 ✓
Belmont @ Jacksonville State -1.0 140.6 41% 98–91 ✓
Liberty @ Stetson -10.5 136.7 19% 68–58 ✓
Nicholls @ Central Arkansas -2.5 151.4 30% 74–72 ✓
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State +1.4 138.5 55% 72–93 ✓
Texas State @ Little Rock +5.5 134.4 64% 67–56 ✗
App State @ South Alabama +2.5 136.9 60% 83–77 ✗
Louisiana @ UT Arlington +3.9 149.3 63% 68–51 ✗
NJIT @ UAlbany +2.1 134.9 64% 75–83 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Southern Miss +4.9 126.9 66% 59–64 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV +8.1 136.7 80% 54–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Southern +8.4 144.8 80% 53–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +16.4 136.5 90% 61–81 ✓
Virginia @ Clemson +1.7 123.4 55% 85–50 ✗
North Florida @ Lipscomb +5.3 142.8 69% 72–67 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago +10.4 137.2 86% 57–72 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State -14.2 149.2 14% 88–61 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +3.7 132.6 65% 65–63 ✗
Robert Morris @ UIC +0.1 144.0 54% 62–66 ✓
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +1.8 151.6 60% 65–68 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific +2.2 130.4 70% 49–58 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +15.9 145.8 88% 59–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.