Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +350 DAV -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +24 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -5.3 (-18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -4.1 (-19.9) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.3 (-20.7) | 135.0 (-5.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -4.2 (-19.8) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -4.1 (-19.9) | 135.4 (-5.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DAV 71 – 64 LAS |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LAS 79 – 76 DAV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DAV 71 – 56 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2023 | DAV 64 – 57 LAS |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAV 77 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 7-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#205) | 5.8 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#183) | 0.36 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#192) | 0.93 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#183) | 0.496 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 12.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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