Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -350 LAS +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +15 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -10.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -8.8 (+6.2) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.4 (+5.6) | 140.9 (-13.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.9 (+5.1) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.7 (+5.3) | 142.3 (-15.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DAV 71 – 64 LAS |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LAS 79 – 76 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2023 | DAV 64 – 57 LAS |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAV 77 – 69 LAS |
| Jan 16, 2021 | DAV 77 – 53 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#121) | -3.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#127) | -0.47 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#120) | -0.62 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#118) | 0.469 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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