Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +210 DAV -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -2.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.2 (-3.8) | 141.1 (-20.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.8 (-5.2) | 142.7 (-21.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -2.4 (-4.6) | 142.0 (-21.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.4 (-4.6) | 142.5 (-21.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DAV 71 – 64 LAS |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LAS 79 – 76 DAV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DAV 71 – 56 LAS |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAV 77 – 69 LAS |
| Jan 16, 2021 | DAV 77 – 53 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#255) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#231) | -0.05 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#274) | 0.33 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.519 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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