Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -17.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -14.5 (-6.5) | 142.5 (+3.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -14.8 (-6.8) | 141.2 (+4.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -14.2 (-6.2) | 143.9 (+2.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -13.9 (-5.9) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DAV 71 – 64 LAS |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LAS 79 – 76 DAV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DAV 71 – 56 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2023 | DAV 64 – 57 LAS |
| Jan 16, 2021 | DAV 77 – 53 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#52) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#28) | -1.33 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#43) | -1.78 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#26) | 0.428 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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