Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -750 LAS +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -10.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -8.5 (-1.5) | 134.0 (+1.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -8.8 (-1.8) | 130.7 (+4.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.4 (-2.4) | 131.4 (+3.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.1 (-3.1) | 133.1 (+1.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2025 | LAS 79 – 76 DAV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | DAV 71 – 56 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2023 | DAV 64 – 57 LAS |
| Jan 29, 2022 | DAV 77 – 69 LAS |
| Jan 16, 2021 | DAV 77 – 53 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#111) | -3.7 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#106) | -0.76 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#107) | -0.87 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#76) | 0.478 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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