Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -275 UTEP +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -2.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.8 (+5.2) | 135.7 (+3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.5 (+6.5) | 131.3 (+7.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.0 (+5.0) | 134.3 (+4.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.4 (+4.6) | 135.4 (+3.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | UNT 80 – 72 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNT 52 – 42 UTEP |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 UNT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | UNT 66 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 63 – 33 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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