Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 115.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP +163 UNT -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.0 (+40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -5.8 (-2.2) | 125.3 (+26.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -5.8 (-2.2) | 122.8 (+29.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -6.3 (-1.7) | 124.3 (+27.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -5.3 (-2.7) | 126.7 (+25.3) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNT 52 – 42 UTEP |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 UNT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | UNT 66 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 74 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 63 – 33 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 56.3 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#191) | 8.1 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#194) | 2.15 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#194) | 2.37 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#192) | 0.601 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.