Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 119.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -11.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -11.4 (-3.4) | 120.5 (+3.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -11.2 (-3.2) | 118.4 (+5.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -12.3 (-4.3) | 124.8 (-0.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -11.2 (-3.2) | 124.8 (-0.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | UNT 80 – 72 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNT 52 – 42 UTEP |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 UNT |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 74 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 63 – 33 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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