Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -225 UTEP +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +30 | 96 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -2.8 (+27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-38.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.2 (+26.8) | 138.3 (-42.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.1 (+27.9) | 133.1 (-37.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -3.4 (+26.6) | 136.9 (-40.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -3.9 (+26.1) | 138.4 (-42.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | UNT 80 – 72 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNT 52 – 42 UTEP |
| Mar 5, 2022 | UTEP 70 – 68 UNT |
| Feb 8, 2022 | UNT 66 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 74 – 65 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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