Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 118.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -6.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.2 (+24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.5 (+5.5) | 126.4 (+11.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -5.0 (+7.0) | 126.1 (+11.9) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.9 (+6.9) | 124.7 (+13.3) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -3.9 (+5.9) | 125.9 (+12.1) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2023 | UNT 80 – 72 UTEP |
| Jan 28, 2023 | UNT 52 – 42 UTEP |
| Feb 8, 2022 | UNT 66 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 74 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UNT 63 – 33 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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