Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -400 EVAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -12.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.9 (+0.1) | 130.2 (-1.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -8.3 (+0.7) | 130.4 (-1.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -8.6 (+0.4) | 129.5 (-0.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.7 (-0.7) | 129.8 (-0.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BRAD 94 – 90 EVAN |
| Dec 30, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 68 EVAN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | BRAD 80 – 74 EVAN |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EVAN 73 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 50 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#107) | -5.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#127) | -0.46 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#152) | -0.63 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#105) | 0.459 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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