Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -300 IUIN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -3.5 (-5.5) | 135.0 (-7.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -3.7 (-5.7) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -3.5 (-5.5) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -3.3 (-5.3) | 134.5 (-6.5) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | NKU 84 – 81 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | NKU 81 – 72 IUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | NKU 71 – 67 IUIN |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NKU 66 – 64 IUIN |
| Feb 25, 2024 | NKU 80 – 64 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#239) | -6.1 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#224) | -0.62 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#245) | -1.02 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#231) | 0.444 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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