Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -235 TAR +194 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -2.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -2.3 (+6.7) | 145.1 (+11.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -3.9 (+5.1) | 139.9 (+17.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -3.2 (+5.8) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -2.3 (+6.7) | 144.7 (+12.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#246) | -5.0 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#327) | -2.54 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.13 (#319) | -2.98 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.337 (#338) | 0.411 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 41.4% |
Game Analysis
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