Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -120 UVU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +1 | 185 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -1.6 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+53.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.3 (-1.3) | 135.0 (+50.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.5 (-2.5) | 131.8 (+53.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -0.9 (-1.9) | 136.7 (+48.3) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -0.3 (-0.7) | 137.4 (+47.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2025 | UVU 68 – 55 SEA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UVU 61 – 55 SEA |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UVU 70 – 66 SEA |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SEA 62 – 61 UVU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | UVU 78 – 72 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 9-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#272) | -2.1 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#216) | -1.87 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#241) | -2.24 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#250) | 0.418 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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