Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -300 PRES +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -4.4 (+17.6) | 128.0 (-4.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -3.2 (+18.8) | 125.5 (-1.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -4.7 (+17.3) | 130.2 (-6.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -4.8 (+17.2) | 129.2 (-5.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | CAM 68 – 63 PRES |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CAM 74 – 57 PRES |
| Dec 29, 2022 | PRES 82 – 72 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CAM 75 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 3, 2022 | PRES 64 – 58 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 5-12 |
| Home | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#249) | -9.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#242) | -2.04 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#259) | -3.06 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#213) | 0.391 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 26.1 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.5 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 15.5% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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